Yeah, I can maybe allow slightly more wiggle room if I think hard about other interpretations to allow. But only slightly.
If you don't require that telepathy be able to express the full range of verbal communication, then the technology is nearly here if not here already (there was that experiment with monkeys playing video games with their mind...). But getting beyond the level of sending signals saying "up", "down", "left", etc sounds pretty difficult.
The IPCC conclusions are based on the consensus of a very cautious group of people. I think there are far too many independent lines of evidence, both purely empirical and theoretical, to have any real doubt about the answer. (It's a little subtle, though, because you said "primarily" and if you were to focus only on warming from, say, 1800 to 1980, it becomes much trickier to tell how much of it is man-made. But I think the sharp rise in the last couple of decades is unambiguous. The next few decades will be even more unambiguous.)
Based on your "1" for ever being contacted by alien life, did you interpret this to include receiving a signal that they were just broadcasting outward in every direction (not necessarily intended for us)?
Yeah, I was probably misinterpreting and thinking this meant contact aimed at us. I think contact in general is improbable, but possible. There's another subtlety with "Is there intelligent life on other planets (besides earth)?": is this planets within our current Hubble patch? Planets anywhere in the eternally inflating multiverse that we might or might not be living in? I don't even know where on a scale of 1-10 I would put the multiverse possibility....
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timeasmymeasure
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Date: 2009-06-07 04:03 am (UTC)If you don't require that telepathy be able to express the full range of verbal communication, then the technology is nearly here if not here already (there was that experiment with monkeys playing video games with their mind...). But getting beyond the level of sending signals saying "up", "down", "left", etc sounds pretty difficult.
The IPCC conclusions are based on the consensus of a very cautious group of people. I think there are far too many independent lines of evidence, both purely empirical and theoretical, to have any real doubt about the answer. (It's a little subtle, though, because you said "primarily" and if you were to focus only on warming from, say, 1800 to 1980, it becomes much trickier to tell how much of it is man-made. But I think the sharp rise in the last couple of decades is unambiguous. The next few decades will be even more unambiguous.)
Based on your "1" for ever being contacted by alien life, did you interpret this to include receiving a signal that they were just broadcasting outward in every direction (not necessarily intended for us)?
Yeah, I was probably misinterpreting and thinking this meant contact aimed at us. I think contact in general is improbable, but possible. There's another subtlety with "Is there intelligent life on other planets (besides earth)?": is this planets within our current Hubble patch? Planets anywhere in the eternally inflating multiverse that we might or might not be living in? I don't even know where on a scale of 1-10 I would put the multiverse possibility....